The Trail

The Iowa Leaderboard

Heading into the Iowa Caucuses, we took a look at nationwide polling, online engagement, and FEC fundraising filings—and all three told us different things.

As Iowans prepare to make their voices heard, we took a look at candidate performances across three key metrics: polling, social media engagement, and fundraising.

In the first two of these categories, former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) exchange the top three spots. But when it comes to average retweets, Sanders outdoes his next closest competitor twofold. And businessman Andrew Yang and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), following not too far behind, are neck and neck in both categories.

But when it comes to fundraising, the calculus changes. Self-funding billionaires, businessman Tom Steyer and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, have reported nearly twice the funds of Sanders, their next closest competitor, although the largest portion of Sanders’ war chest has come from small individual contributions less than $200. And President Trump has raised more than all of the Democratic candidates besides Steyer and Bloomberg for a total of $143 million.

Also of note: Yang and Klobuchar saw the largest change from their Q3 fundraising, raising 65% and 138% more than the previous filing.

As Americans begin to cast their primary votes, which of these metrics will matter most? We’re about to start finding out.